Fixtures
CHE CHE 2-0 MUN MUN FT
COV COV 3-1 SUN SUN FT
HUL HUL 2-2 IPS IPS FT
BRE BRE 2-0 NFO NFO FT
MCI MCI 0-1 BHA BHA FT
BOU BOU 2-0 LEE LEE FT
TOT TOT 2-0 CRY CRY FT
AVL AVL 1-1 FUL FUL FT
LIV LIV 0-1 ARS ARS FT
NEW NEW 0-1 EVE EVE FT
EVE EVE vs COV COV Fri 20:00
LEE LEE vs TOT TOT Sat 12:30
FUL FUL vs NEW NEW Sat 15:00
ARS ARS vs HUL HUL Sat 15:00
NFO NFO vs MCI MCI Sat 17:30
IPS IPS vs BOU BOU Sun 14:00
BHA BHA vs BRE BRE Sun 14:00
CRY CRY vs LIV LIV Sun 14:00
SUN SUN vs CHE CHE Sun 14:00
MUN MUN vs AVL AVL Sun 16:30
CHE CHE 2-0 MUN MUN FT
COV COV 3-1 SUN SUN FT
HUL HUL 2-2 IPS IPS FT
BRE BRE 2-0 NFO NFO FT
MCI MCI 0-1 BHA BHA FT
BOU BOU 2-0 LEE LEE FT
TOT TOT 2-0 CRY CRY FT
AVL AVL 1-1 FUL FUL FT
LIV LIV 0-1 ARS ARS FT
NEW NEW 0-1 EVE EVE FT
EVE EVE vs COV COV Fri 20:00
LEE LEE vs TOT TOT Sat 12:30
FUL FUL vs NEW NEW Sat 15:00
ARS ARS vs HUL HUL Sat 15:00
NFO NFO vs MCI MCI Sat 17:30
IPS IPS vs BOU BOU Sun 14:00
BHA BHA vs BRE BRE Sun 14:00
CRY CRY vs LIV LIV Sun 14:00
SUN SUN vs CHE CHE Sun 14:00
MUN MUN vs AVL AVL Sun 16:30

Saka

0% chance

Arsenal · MID · £9.5m

World Cup England 313 mins

Thigh injury - Unknown return date

1523.2
Elo
Up 3.0 since May
1537 Z-Score
Latest · GW7

1523.2, down 1.9 after 7 defensive actions against Nott'm Forest (A)

Overall rank
#60
of 454 on Z-Score
Excellent top 5% to 20% of the rated
MID rank
#25
of 218 on Z-Score
Total Points
37
PPG
5.30

Z-Score: MID points per game are compared against a 2.98 average , spread 1.19. Measured against this season's regulars (137 of them), pulled toward the same measurement over 2025-26 (48 players).

01

Upcoming fixtures

HUL (H) GW10
NEW (A) GW11
MCI (H) GW12
BRE (A) GW13
TOT (A) GW14
02

2026/27 gameweek by gameweek

7 of 9 gameweeks played

Form 1.2
vs season average -2.3
Appearances 7
  1. GW9 No appearance recorded
  2. GW8 No appearance recorded
  3. GW7 Nott'm Forest, away 3 pts 1523.2 Elo -1.9 rating change 7 defensive actions 16 BPS
  4. GW6 Leeds, home 2 pts 1525.1 Elo -3.2 rating change 8 defensive actions 9 BPS
  5. GW5 Brighton, away 2 pts 1528.4 Elo -3.3 rating change 2 defensive actions 14 BPS
  6. GW4 Sunderland, away 8 pts 1531.7 Elo +4.5 rating change A goal7 defensive actions 28 BPS
  7. GW3 Chelsea, home 2 pts 1527.2 Elo -3.3 rating change 4 defensive actions 13 BPS
  8. GW2 Aston Villa, away 11 pts 1530.5 Elo +5.1 rating change A goal3 bonus points11 defensive actions 46 BPS
  9. GW1 Coventry City, home 9 pts 1525.4 Elo +5.2 rating change A goal1 bonus point7 defensive actions 36 BPS
03

Season stats

Goals 3
Assists 0
Bonus 4
Minutes 596
04

Expected stats

xG 4.59
xA 0.45
xG/90 0.69
xA/90 0.07
Goals vs xG 3 from 4.6 xG -1.6
05

Ownership

Live 2026/27 squads

6.2% of FPL squads have picked Saka

Percentage of FPL squads that have picked Saka right now.

06

Elo

Skill rating, 2026/27

Current 1523.2
Started 2026/27 at 1520.2
Since May +3.0
Peak, all time 1534.5
Peak, 2026/27 1531.7
Confidence 110 RD
Games, career 38
Games, 2026/27 7
Opened 2026/27 on 31
Evidence 6.62 games
Trend Stable

It is built on 6.62 games, so most of this rating is still the starting assumption every player begins from, with about 40 per cent of it measured. Expect it to move a long way once matches are played.

07

FAPR

Fixture-adjusted performance

FAPR 0.69
Raw PPG 5.30
Adjustment +0.44
Performs better against tough opposition than raw stats suggest.
08

PvE

Performance vs expected

Ratio 0.65x
Difference -1.6 goals
Underperforming xG/xA - positive regression likely.
09

2026 World Cup load

Played at the World Cup

Played for
England
Minutes
313
Appearances
6
Starts
3

Saka played 313 minutes for England, short of the 450 minute line, so this rating is held a little less firmly than a player who had the whole summer off.

Every rating carries a second number for how firmly it is held, called the rating deviation. A bigger deviation means the rating is less settled, so it moves further and faster once matches are played. It is not a mark against the player.

None of this is scored into the Elo rating. A World Cup is played against different opposition under different conditions, so counting it as Premier League evidence would make the number harder to defend. What a summer changes is how settled a rating is, not what it says.

10

Edge factor

Due Regression Underperforming expected stats - positive regression likely
11

Elo history

2026/27 gameweeks

GW1
1525
GW2
1531
GW3
1527
GW4
1532
GW5
1528
GW6
1525
GW7
1523