Regression Watch
Gameweek 29
Players whose actual output doesn't match their underlying stats. DUE = buy low, OVER = potential sell.
DUE
Due Goals
Underperforming xG - buy targets
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Brooks
MID Bournemouth £5.0m
1 goals from 4.9 npxG
-3.9
diff
0.20x
PvE
Form 0.7 1440
Watkins
FWD Aston Villa £8.5m
8 goals from 11.5 npxG
-3.5
diff
0.70x
PvE
Form 1.7 1515
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth £6.8m
6 goals from 9.2 npxG
-3.2
diff
0.65x
PvE
Form 3.3 1526
Delap
FWD Chelsea £6.2m
1 goals from 4.2 npxG
-3.2
diff
0.24x
PvE
Form 1.0 1452
Beto
FWD Everton £5.0m
4 goals from 7.1 npxG
-3.1
diff
0.56x
PvE
Form 4.0 1491
Martinelli
MID Arsenal £6.8m
1 goals from 4.0 npxG
-3.0
diff
0.25x
PvE
Form 1.2 1446
Van den Berg
DEF Brentford £4.5m
0 goals from 3.0 npxG
-3.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 5.2 1575
Garnacho
MID Chelsea £6.4m
1 goals from 3.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.27x
PvE
Form 2.3 1487
Mateta
FWD Crystal Palace £7.5m
8 goals from 10.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.62x
PvE
Form 0.0 1554
Igor Jesus
FWD Nott'm Forest £5.8m
2 goals from 4.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.44x
PvE
Form 4.0 1509
Amad
MID Man Utd £6.2m
2 goals from 4.6 npxG
-2.6
diff
0.44x
PvE
Form 1.0 1472
Struijk
DEF Leeds £4.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 2.0 1491
Odobert
MID Spurs £5.3m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.0 1456
Savinho
MID Man City £6.9m
0 goals from 2.5 npxG
-2.5
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 0.3 1443
Tolu
FWD Wolves £5.4m
2 goals from 4.4 npxG
-2.4
diff
0.39x
PvE
Form 1.8 1462
J.Arias
MID Wolves £4.9m
1 goals from 3.3 npxG
-2.3
diff
0.30x
PvE
Form 0.0 1457
Mosquera
DEF Wolves £4.3m
0 goals from 2.1 npxG
-2.1
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 4.2 1502
Minteh
MID Brighton £5.5m
1 goals from 3.1 npxG
-2.1
diff
0.33x
PvE
Form 0.3 1477
King
MID Fulham £4.4m
0 goals from 2.0 npxG
-2.0
diff
0.00x
PvE
Form 1.3 1445
Yeremy
MID Crystal Palace £5.8m
2 goals from 4.0 npxG
-2.0
diff
0.50x
PvE
Form 1.3 1458
OVER
Overperforming
Overperforming xG - sell/caution
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
Bruno G.
MID Newcastle £6.8m
9 goals from 4.3 npxG
+4.8
diff
1.56x
PvE
Form 0.0 1685
Wilson
MID Fulham £6.0m
9 goals from 4.6 npxG
+4.4
diff
1.97x
PvE
Form 6.7 1678
Anthony
MID Burnley £5.0m
7 goals from 3.7 npxG
+3.3
diff
1.89x
PvE
Form 5.3 1577
Kroupi.Jr
FWD Bournemouth £4.7m
8 goals from 4.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.63x
PvE
Form 1.7 1492
Rogers
MID Aston Villa £7.5m
8 goals from 4.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.63x
PvE
Form 1.7 1554
Flemming
FWD Burnley £5.3m
7 goals from 3.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.29x
PvE
Form 5.0 1540
L.Paquetá
MID West Ham £5.9m
4 goals from 0.9 npxG
+3.1
diff
1.64x
PvE
Form 0.0 1553
Dewsbury-Hall
MID Everton £5.1m
6 goals from 3.0 npxG
+3.0
diff
2.01x
PvE
Form 6.3 1658
Gravenberch
MID Liverpool £5.5m
4 goals from 1.1 npxG
+2.9
diff
3.60x
PvE
Form 2.7 1567
Ndiaye
MID Everton £6.2m
5 goals from 2.6 npxG
+2.4
diff
1.21x
PvE
Form 4.0 1584
Zubimendi
MID Arsenal £5.2m
5 goals from 2.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
1.87x
PvE
Form 2.6 1539
Iwobi
MID Fulham £6.4m
4 goals from 1.7 npxG
+2.3
diff
2.34x
PvE
Form 8.3 1651
Romero
DEF Spurs £5.0m
4 goals from 1.8 npxG
+2.2
diff
2.23x
PvE
Form 0.0 1582
Richarlison
FWD Spurs £6.3m
8 goals from 5.9 npxG
+2.1
diff
1.35x
PvE
Form 2.3 1514
Brobbey
FWD Sunderland £5.4m
5 goals from 3.0 npxG
+2.0
diff
1.68x
PvE
Form 0.3 1464
M.Fernandes
MID West Ham £5.5m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.85x
PvE
Form 3.0 1550
Cash
DEF Aston Villa £4.8m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.70x
PvE
Form 0.3 1485
R.Gomes
DEF Wolves £4.4m
3 goals from 1.1 npxG
+1.9
diff
2.67x
PvE
Form 3.8 1497
BuendÃa
MID Aston Villa £5.3m
5 goals from 3.2 npxG
+1.8
diff
1.55x
PvE
Form 1.3 1476
Caicedo
MID Chelsea £5.7m
3 goals from 1.3 npxG
+1.7
diff
2.31x
PvE
Form 2.7 1543