Matchup Predictor
In-form attackers facing weak defences. The matchup score weighs form, rating and xG/90 against the opponent's defensive record.
Gameweek 10
8+ Excellent matchup 6-8 Good matchup High xGA = weak defense (H) Home · (A) Away
01
Top matchups
#1 
Evanilson
FWD Bournemouth
6.1
vs IPS (A)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.46
Price
£6.4m
#2 
Ayari
MID Brighton
5.8
vs BRE (H)
1.49 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.27
Price
£5.4m
#3 
Haaland
FWD Man City
5.6
vs NFO (A)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.89
Price
£15.8m
#4 
N.Jackson
FWD Aston Villa
5.6
vs MUN (A)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.37
Price
£7.0m
#5
Tavernier
MID Bournemouth
5.5
vs IPS (A)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.42
Price
£6.6m
#6 
Mbeumo
MID Man Utd
5.5
vs AVL (H)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.53
Price
£7.9m
#7 
Neto
MID Chelsea
5.3
vs SUN (A)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.32
Price
£6.6m
#8 
Enciso
MID Ipswich Town
5.2
vs BOU (H)
1.46 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.25
Price
£5.5m
#9
Kostoulas
FWD Brighton
5.2
vs BRE (H)
1.49 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.48
Price
£5.8m
#10 
Barry
FWD Everton
5.2
vs COV (H)
1.51 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.85
Price
£5.6m
#11
Rayan
MID Bournemouth
5.2
vs IPS (A)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.53
Price
£6.3m
#12 
Isak
FWD Liverpool
5.1
vs CRY (A)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.75
Price
£9.2m
#13 
Iwobi
MID Fulham
5.1
vs NEW (H)
1.50 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.17
Price
£5.4m
#14 
Rudoni
MID Coventry City
5.1
vs EVE (A)
1.46 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.47
Price
£4.9m
#15 
Thiago
FWD Brentford
5
vs BHA (A)
1.44 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.45
Price
£7.8m
02
Best forward matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
9 
10 
Evanilson
vs IPS (A) 1.53 xGA
6.1
£6.4m
Haaland
vs NFO (A) 1.54 xGA
5.6
£15.8m
N.Jackson
vs MUN (A) 1.57 xGA
5.6
£7.0m
Kostoulas
vs BRE (H) 1.49 xGA
5.2
£5.8m
Barry
vs COV (H) 1.51 xGA
5.2
£5.6m
Isak
vs CRY (A) 1.54 xGA
5.1
£9.2m
Thiago
vs BHA (A) 1.44 xGA
5
£7.8m
Calvert-Lewin
vs TOT (H) 1.47 xGA
5
£6.1m
McBurnie
vs ARS (A) 1.38 xGA
4.8
£5.5m
Brobbey
vs CHE (H) 1.52 xGA
4.8
£5.7m
03
Best midfielder matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 
10
Ayari
vs BRE (H) 1.49 xGA
5.8
£5.4m
Tavernier
vs IPS (A) 1.53 xGA
5.5
£6.6m
Mbeumo
vs AVL (H) 1.54 xGA
5.5
£7.9m
Neto
vs SUN (A) 1.55 xGA
5.3
£6.6m
Enciso
vs BOU (H) 1.46 xGA
5.2
£5.5m
Rayan
vs IPS (A) 1.53 xGA
5.2
£6.3m
Iwobi
vs NEW (H) 1.50 xGA
5.1
£5.4m
Rudoni
vs EVE (A) 1.46 xGA
5.1
£4.9m
Ndoye
vs MCI (H) 1.50 xGA
4.9
£5.5m
Groß
vs BRE (H) 1.49 xGA
4.8
£6.2m
04
How matchup scores work
Player Form (60%)
- Rating vs position average (1500 baseline)
- Recent form trend (form_diff)
- Expected goals per 90 minutes (xG/90)
Opponent Weakness (40%)
- Estimated xGA based on defensive player ratings
- Higher xGA = weaker defense = better matchup
- Home advantage provides 10% bonus
Note: xGA is estimated from team defensive ratings. Only attackers with 5+ games played and available status are included.