Matchup Predictor
Gameweek 30
In-form attackers facing weak defenses. Matchup score combines player form, rating, xG/90 with opponent defensive weakness.
8+ Excellent matchup 6-8 Good matchup High xGA = weak defense (H) Home · (A) Away
Top Matchups
All positions #1 
João Pedro
FWD Chelsea
6.8
vs NEW (H)
1.48 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1734
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.58
Price
£7.7m
#2 
Ekitiké
FWD Liverpool
6.4
vs TOT (H)
1.52 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1636
Form
▲▲
xG/90
0.59
Price
£9.2m
#3 
B.Fernandes
MID Man Utd
6.3
vs AVL (H)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1757
Form
→
xG/90
0.39
Price
£10.1m
#4 
Sarr
MID Crystal Palace
6.2
vs LEE (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1636
Form
▲
xG/90
0.46
Price
£6.3m
#5
Mac Allister
MID Liverpool
5.9
vs TOT (H)
1.52 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1590
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.15
Price
£6.3m
#6 
Welbeck
FWD Brighton
5.9
vs SUN (A)
1.47 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1579
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.51
Price
£6.1m
#7 
Haaland
FWD Man City
5.8
vs WHU (A)
1.52 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1682
Form
→
xG/90
0.88
Price
£14.6m
#8 
Thiago
FWD Brentford
5.8
vs WOL (H)
1.56 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1598
Form
▼▼
xG/90
0.70
Price
£7.2m
#9
Šeško
FWD Man Utd
5.8
vs AVL (H)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1581
Form
▲
xG/90
0.66
Price
£7.3m
#10 
Saka
MID Arsenal
5.7
vs EVE (H)
1.41 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1647
Form
▲
xG/90
0.38
Price
£9.8m
#11
Palmer
MID Chelsea
5.6
vs NEW (H)
1.48 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1603
Form
▼▼▼
xG/90
0.59
Price
£10.6m
#12 
Gibbs-White
MID Nott'm Forest
5.5
vs FUL (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1631
Form
▲
xG/90
0.30
Price
£7.3m
#13
Mbeumo
MID Man Utd
5.5
vs AVL (H)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1592
Form
▼▼▼
xG/90
0.42
Price
£8.7m
#14
Damsgaard
MID Brentford
5.5
vs WOL (H)
1.56 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1571
Form
▲▲▲
xG/90
0.12
Price
£5.6m
#15
Casemiro
MID Man Utd
5.4
vs AVL (H)
1.57 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Rating
1633
Form
▲
xG/90
0.24
Price
£5.6m
FWD
Best Forward Matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 
9 10 
João Pedro
vs NEW (H) 1.48 xGA
6.8
£7.7m
Ekitiké
vs TOT (H) 1.52 xGA
6.4
£9.2m
Welbeck
vs SUN (A) 1.47 xGA
5.9
£6.1m
Haaland
vs WHU (A) 1.52 xGA
5.8
£14.6m
Thiago
vs WOL (H) 1.56 xGA
5.8
£7.2m
Šeško
vs AVL (H) 1.57 xGA
5.8
£7.3m
Mateta
vs LEE (H) 1.55 xGA
5.4
£7.5m
Raúl
vs NFO (A) 1.55 xGA
5.1
£6.2m
Gyökeres
vs EVE (H) 1.41 xGA
5
£8.8m
Bowen
vs MCI (H) 1.41 xGA
4.8
£7.5m
MID
Best Midfielder Matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
B.Fernandes
vs AVL (H) 1.57 xGA
6.3
£10.1m
Sarr
vs LEE (H) 1.55 xGA
6.2
£6.3m
Mac Allister
vs TOT (H) 1.52 xGA
5.9
£6.3m
Saka
vs EVE (H) 1.41 xGA
5.7
£9.8m
Palmer
vs NEW (H) 1.48 xGA
5.6
£10.6m
Gibbs-White
vs FUL (H) 1.55 xGA
5.5
£7.3m
Mbeumo
vs AVL (H) 1.57 xGA
5.5
£8.7m
Damsgaard
vs WOL (H) 1.56 xGA
5.5
£5.6m
Casemiro
vs AVL (H) 1.57 xGA
5.4
£5.6m
Iwobi
vs NFO (A) 1.55 xGA
5.3
£6.4m
How Matchup Scores Work
Player Form (60%)
- Rating vs position average (1500 baseline)
- Recent form trend (form_diff)
- Expected goals per 90 minutes (xG/90)
Opponent Weakness (40%)
- Estimated xGA based on defensive player ratings
- Higher xGA = weaker defense = better matchup
- Home advantage provides 10% bonus
Note: xGA is estimated from team defensive ratings. Only attackers with 5+ games played and available status are included.