Matchup Predictor
In-form attackers facing weak defences. The matchup score weighs form, rating and xG/90 against the opponent's defensive record.
Gameweek 2
These are scored on carried ratings
Too few players have 2026/27 games behind them to measure form, so both halves of the score below, the attacker and the defence he is facing, come from the Elo ratings carried across the summer. That is the same number the board is ranked on until the counting stats open up, and these scores re-rank themselves on 2026/27 form as games are played.
8+ Excellent matchup 6-8 Good matchup High xGA = weak defense (H) Home · (A) Away
01
Top matchups
#1 
João Pedro
FWD Chelsea
5.2
vs BHA (H)
1.58 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.67
Price
£7.6m
#2 
Haaland
FWD Man City
5
vs CRY (A)
1.56 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.75
Price
£15.5m
#3 
Szoboszlai
MID Liverpool
5
vs NFO (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.83
Price
£7.0m
#4 
Mbeumo
MID Man Utd
4.9
vs IPS (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.55
Price
£8.0m
#5
Isak
FWD Liverpool
4.8
vs NFO (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
1.41
Price
£9.0m
#6 
Tavernier
MID Bournemouth
4.6
vs EVE (H)
1.54 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.48
Price
£6.0m
#7 
Gonzalo
FWD Fulham
4.6
vs SUN (A)
1.58 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.80
Price
£6.0m
#8 
McBurnie
FWD Hull City
4.2
vs COV (A)
1.53 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.44
Price
£5.5m
#9 
Lewis-Potter
MID Brentford
4.1
vs LEE (A)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.58
Price
£5.5m
#10
Janelt
MID Brentford
4.1
vs LEE (A)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.49
Price
£5.0m
#11
Schade
MID Brentford
4
vs LEE (A)
1.59 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.44
Price
£6.0m
#12
Gakpo
MID Liverpool
3.9
vs NFO (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.23
Price
£7.0m
#13 
Stach
MID Leeds
3.9
vs BRE (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.11
Price
£6.0m
#14
B.Fernandes
MID Man Utd
3.9
vs IPS (H)
1.55 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.04
Price
£12.0m
#15
Calvert-Lewin
FWD Leeds
3.9
vs BRE (H)
1.62 xGA
Opponent's estimated xGA per game. Higher = weaker defense = more goals conceded.
Z-Score
Form
→
xG/90
0.16
Price
£6.0m
02
Best forward matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 
8 
9 
10 
João Pedro
vs BHA (H) 1.58 xGA
5.2
£7.6m
Haaland
vs CRY (A) 1.56 xGA
5
£15.5m
Isak
vs NFO (H) 1.62 xGA
4.8
£9.0m
Gonzalo
vs SUN (A) 1.58 xGA
4.6
£6.0m
McBurnie
vs COV (A) 1.53 xGA
4.2
£5.5m
Calvert-Lewin
vs BRE (H) 1.62 xGA
3.9
£6.0m
Wissa
vs TOT (A) 1.61 xGA
3.8
£6.0m
Emersonn
vs MUN (A) 1.63 xGA
3.3
£5.5m
Havertz
vs AVL (A) 1.63 xGA
3.3
£7.5m
Igor Jesus
vs LIV (A) 1.59 xGA
3.3
£6.0m
03
Best midfielder matchups
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 
Szoboszlai
vs NFO (H) 1.62 xGA
5
£7.0m
Mbeumo
vs IPS (H) 1.55 xGA
4.9
£8.0m
Tavernier
vs EVE (H) 1.54 xGA
4.6
£6.0m
Lewis-Potter
vs LEE (A) 1.59 xGA
4.1
£5.5m
Janelt
vs LEE (A) 1.59 xGA
4.1
£5.0m
Schade
vs LEE (A) 1.59 xGA
4
£6.0m
Gakpo
vs NFO (H) 1.62 xGA
3.9
£7.0m
Stach
vs BRE (H) 1.62 xGA
3.9
£6.0m
B.Fernandes
vs IPS (H) 1.55 xGA
3.9
£12.0m
Ndiaye
vs BOU (A) 1.57 xGA
3.7
£6.0m
04
How matchup scores work
Player Form (60%)
- Rating vs position average (1500 baseline)
- Recent form trend (form_diff)
- Expected goals per 90 minutes (xG/90)
Opponent Weakness (40%)
- Estimated xGA based on defensive player ratings
- Higher xGA = weaker defense = better matchup
- Home advantage provides 10% bonus
Note: xGA is estimated from team defensive ratings. Only attackers with 5+ games played and available status are included.