Thiago
Brentford · FWD · £7.8m
World Cup Brazil 61 mins
1489.7, up 5.3 after a goal and 7 defensive actions against Nott'm Forest (H)
Z-Score: FWD points per game are compared against a 3.21 average , spread 1.31. Measured against this season's regulars (27 of them), pulled toward the same measurement over 2025-26 (20 players).
Upcoming fixtures
2026/27 gameweek by gameweek
- GW9 Nott'm Forest, home 9 pts 1489.7 Elo +5.3 rating change A goal3 bonus points7 defensive actions 37 BPS
- GW8 Hull City, away 5 pts 1484.4 Elo +1.5 rating change An assist6 defensive actions 19 BPS
- GW7 Liverpool, home 4 pts 1482.8 Elo +0.3 rating change An assistA yellow card10 defensive actions 11 BPS
- GW6 Aston Villa, away 4 pts 1482.6 Elo +0.3 rating change An assistA yellow card7 defensive actions 12 BPS
- GW5 Chelsea, home 5 pts 1482.3 Elo +1.6 rating change A goalA yellow card3 defensive actions 26 BPS
- GW4 Bournemouth, away 1 pts 1480.7 Elo -3.7 rating change A yellow card1 defensive action 3 BPS
- GW3 Sunderland, home 2 pts 1484.5 Elo -2.5 rating change 6 defensive actions 9 BPS
- GW2 Leeds, away 2 pts 1486.9 Elo -2.5 rating change 4 defensive actions 2 BPS
- GW1 Spurs, home 0 pts 1489.5 Elo -5.3 rating change A penalty missed5 defensive actions -3 BPS
Season stats
Expected stats Expected goals and assists based on the quality of chances. Compares what a player 'should' score vs what they actually score.
Ownership
Percentage of FPL squads that have picked Thiago right now.
Elo Glicko-style skill rating. It updates match by match and carries across seasons rather than resetting, so it is not a count of points scored.
It is built on 8.91 games, so most of this rating is still the starting assumption every player begins from, with about 47 per cent of it measured. Expect it to move a long way once matches are played.
FAPR Fixture-Adjusted Performance Rating. Adjusts PPG based on opponent difficulty faced.
PvE Performance vs Expected. Compares actual output to expected goals/assists. Shows if player is over or underperforming.
2026 World Cup load
Thiago played 61 minutes for Brazil, short of the 450 minute line, so this rating is held a little less firmly than a player who had the whole summer off.
Every rating carries a second number for how firmly it is held, called the rating deviation. A bigger deviation means the rating is less settled, so it moves further and faster once matches are played. It is not a mark against the player.
None of this is scored into the Elo rating. A World Cup is played against different opposition under different conditions, so counting it as Premier League evidence would make the number harder to defend. What a summer changes is how settled a rating is, not what it says.