Chavarria
Chelsea · DEF · £4.9m
1435.0
Elo
1471 Z-Score
Latest · GW9
1435.0, down 8.4 after 1 point against Man Utd (H)
Overall rank
#393
of 454 on Z-Score
Below Average top 70% to 90% of the rated
DEF rank
#132
of 159 on Z-Score
Total Points
11
PPG
1.60
Z-Score: DEF points per game are compared against a 3.07 average , spread 1.35. Measured against this season's regulars (110 of them), pulled toward the same measurement over 2025-26 (42 players).
01
Upcoming fixtures
SUN (A) GW10
LEE (H) GW11
NFO (A) GW12
CRY (H) GW13
LIV (H) GW14
02
2026/27 gameweek by gameweek
Form 1.5
vs season average -0.6
Appearances 7
- GW9 Man Utd, home 1 pts 1435.0 Elo -8.4 rating change 5 BPS
- GW8 No appearance recorded
- GW7 No appearance recorded
- GW6 Bournemouth, home 5 pts 1443.4 Elo +7.4 rating change An assist6 defensive actions 22 BPS
- GW5 Brentford, away 1 pts 1436.0 Elo -11 rating change 9 defensive actions 7 BPS
- GW4 Hull City, home 1 pts 1447.0 Elo -11.8 rating change 1 defensive action 4 BPS
- GW3 Arsenal, away 1 pts 1458.9 Elo -12.7 rating change 2 defensive actions 2 BPS
- GW2 Brighton, home 1 pts 1471.6 Elo -13.7 rating change 3 defensive actions 1 BPS
- GW1 Fulham, away 1 pts 1485.3 Elo -14.7 rating change 1 defensive action 3 BPS
03
Season stats
Goals 0
Assists 1
Clean Sheets 0
Bonus 0
Minutes 314
04
Expected stats Expected goals and assists based on the quality of chances. Compares what a player 'should' score vs what they actually score.
xG
Expected Goals. Season total of goals expected based on shot quality. Compare to actual goals to see if clinical or unlucky. 0.03
xA
Expected Assists. Season total of assists expected based on key pass quality. Compare to actual assists. 0.59
xG/90
Expected Goals per 90 mins. Normalizes for minutes played. 0.5+ is very good for forwards, 0.3+ good for midfielders. 0.01
xA/90
Expected Assists per 90 mins. Normalizes for minutes played. 0.3+ is very good. Shows creative output rate. 0.18
Goals vs xG
Actual goals minus expected. Positive = clinical finisher beating xG. Negative = underperforming, may be due for positive regression. 0 from 0.0 xG -0.0
05
Ownership
0.2% of FPL squads have picked Chavarria
Percentage of FPL squads that have picked Chavarria right now.
06
Elo Glicko-style skill rating. It updates match by match and carries across seasons rather than resetting, so it is not a count of points scored.
Current
1500 is the baseline a player with no history starts from. Higher is a stronger record against the players they have faced. 1435.0
Peak, all time
The highest this rating has ever reached, counting every season the player has been rated in. A large gap between the peak and the current number means they are below their best. 1500.0
Peak, 2026/27 The highest this rating has reached through 2026/27 football alone. It fills in once a gameweek of this season has been rated, so it is empty for the whole of pre-season. 1485.3
Confidence
Rating Deviation. Lower = more confident rating. Higher = less data, rating may change quickly. 283 RD
Games, career
Appearances behind this rating, counted across every season the player has been rated in rather than this one alone. 7
Games, 2026/27 How many of those appearances are 2026/27 ones. The rating row cannot always separate the seasons, and where it cannot this says so rather than showing a zero. 7
Evidence
The bars beside an Elo say how much football is behind it. One bar is a rating built on a handful of matches, which can move a long way once games are played, and three bars is close to a full season of evidence behind the number. 3.49 games
Trend
Which way this rating is moving, measured across 2026/27 gameweeks alone. It needs two of them behind it, so before that it reads as not recorded rather than as steady. Falling
It is built on 3.49 games, so most of this rating is still the starting assumption every player begins from, with about 26 per cent of it measured. Expect it to move a long way once matches are played.
07
FAPR Fixture-Adjusted Performance Rating. Adjusts PPG based on opponent difficulty faced.
FAPR 0.01
Raw PPG 1.60
Adjustment
Positive = performed better vs tough opponents. Negative = stats boosted by easy fixtures. -0.04
Consistent performance regardless of opponent quality.
08
PvE Performance vs Expected. Compares actual output to expected goals/assists. Shows if player is over or underperforming.
Ratio
Above 1.0 = scoring more than expected. Below 1.0 = scoring less than expected. 0.00x
Difference 0.0 goals
Underperforming xG/xA - positive regression likely.
09
Edge factor
Due Regression Underperforming expected stats - positive regression likely
10
Elo history
GW1
1485
GW2
1472
GW3
1459
GW4
1447
GW5
1436
GW6
1443
GW9
1435